Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Teddy Bridgewater
Teddy Bridgewater

Player breakdown

Teddy Bridgewater

Louisville · 2014 Draft Class

6-2214 lbs1st round, 32nd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~33
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

30%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2014MIN13122594022,9191412209115
2015MIN16162924473,231149192317
2017MIN1002001-300
2018NOR51142311811501
2019NOR951331961,384923109
2020CAR15153404923,7331511279520
2021DEN14142854263,052187106220
2022MIA524979683442704
2023DET1000000-200
2025TAM408156200400
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2011LouisvilleACC91672531,85512995315
2012LouisvilleACC112874193,71827820128
2013LouisvilleACC112683823,52328454028

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

30%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.20s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
9,096 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.257

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.59 — average athletic ceiling-0.557
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.373
293.4 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.351

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)