Player breakdown
Thomas Castellanos
Florida State · 2026 Draft Class
5-11190 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
High
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $2.5M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
58%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Florida State | ACC | 12 | 171 | 285 | 2,676 | 9 | 7 | 622 | 5 | 14 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
58%
ML model output
Context Prob
58%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+1338 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.343
2,676 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.273
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.267
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.55 — average athletic ceiling-0.568
Improvement accelerating (+2676.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
223.0 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.335