Player breakdown
Tim Tebow
Florida · 2010 Draft Class
6-3236 lbs1st round, 25th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
EliteHeisman x1Davey O'Brien x1Manning x1All-American x1Missed 25+ TD
Major awards: 4Heisman votes: 1957NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
92%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | DEN | 9 | 3 | 41 | 82 | 654 | 5 | 3 | 227 | 6 | 11 |
| 2011 | DEN | 14 | 11 | 126 | 271 | 1,729 | 12 | 6 | 660 | 6 | 18 |
| 2012 | NYJ | 12 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 102 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Florida | SEC | 6 | 21 | 32 | 357 | 4 | 1 | 430 | 7 | 11 |
| 2007 | Florida | SEC | 12 | 217 | 317 | 3,132 | 29 | 6 | 838 | 22 | 51 |
| 2008 | Florida | SEC | 13 | 174 | 268 | 2,515 | 28 | 2 | 564 | 12 | 40 |
| 2009 | Florida | SEC | 13 | 213 | 314 | 2,895 | 21 | 5 | 910 | 14 | 35 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
14%
ML model output
Context Prob
14%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 0.95 — elite athletic ceiling+0.355
4.17s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.262
8,899 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+7.8) — getting better faster each year-0.397
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.367
202.2 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.343