Predicting the Pros
Predictions/T.J. Yates
T.J. Yates

Player breakdown

T.J. Yates

North Carolina · 2011 Draft Class

6-3219 lbs5th round, 152nd overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~39
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2011HOU6582134949335703
2012HOU404103801-111
2013HOU30152211302000
2014ATL10346401000
2015HOU42285737031003
2017HOU434797523435104
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2007North CarolinaACC92183652,65514180014
2008North CarolinaACC46611095793009
2009North CarolinaACC82143552,13614150014
2010North CarolinaACC102593833,1841880018

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

8%

ML model output

Context Prob

8%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Improvement accelerating (+0.2) — getting better faster each year+0.344
4.12s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269
8,932 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.82 — elite athletic ceiling-0.560
288.1 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.327
4 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)