Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tony Pike
Tony Pike

Player breakdown

Tony Pike

Cincinnati · 2010 Draft Class

6-6223 lbs6th round, 204th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~40
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

20%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2010CAR106124700000
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2007CincinnatiBig 121112091137501
2008CincinnatiBig 12101832912,16818743119
2009CincinnatiBig 1292113382,5202966231

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

20%

ML model output

Context Prob

20%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+1214 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.337
4,779 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
4.53s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.270

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.88 — elite athletic ceiling-0.445
Improvement accelerating (+26.7) — getting better faster each year-0.397
238.9 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.334

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)