Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Trent Edwards
Trent Edwards

Player breakdown

Trent Edwards

Stanford · 2007 Draft Class

6-4231 lbs3rd round, 92nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~42
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

7%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2007BUF1091512691,630784907
2008BUF14142453742,6991110117314
2009BUF871101831,1696710606
2010JAX312649280133401
2012PHI10221400000
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2003StanfordACC883168788518616
2004StanfordACC51492741,73291132110
2005StanfordACC91682681,934177153017
2006StanfordACC3941561,027663706

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

7%

ML model output

Context Prob

7%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.92 — elite athletic ceiling+0.355
4.46s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269
5,481 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+1.4) — getting better faster each year-0.390
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.323
4 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)