Player breakdown
Trevor Siemian
Northwestern · 2015 Draft Class
7th round, 250th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~34
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
6%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | DEN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2016 | DEN | 14 | 14 | 289 | 486 | 3,401 | 18 | 10 | 57 | 0 | 18 |
| 2017 | DEN | 11 | 10 | 206 | 349 | 2,285 | 12 | 14 | 127 | 1 | 13 |
| 2019 | NYJ | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021 | NOR | 6 | 4 | 108 | 188 | 1,154 | 11 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 12 |
| 2022 | CHI | 2 | 1 | 15 | 26 | 184 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| 2023 | NYJ | 5 | 3 | 86 | 153 | 724 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 2 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3 | 16 | 26 | 256 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 3 |
| 2012 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4 | 128 | 218 | 1,312 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 1 | 7 |
| 2013 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5 | 178 | 298 | 2,149 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 0 | 11 |
| 2014 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 8 | 228 | 392 | 2,214 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
6%
ML model output
Context Prob
6%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
5,931 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.268
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.260
0 lbs — slot/speed weight class+0.152
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.546
Improvement accelerating (+7.7) — getting better faster each year-0.390
296.6 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.325