Player breakdown
Ty Simpson
Alabama · 2026 Draft Class
6-1211 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $2.8M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
54%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Alabama | SEC | 15 | 296 | 463 | 3,466 | 20 | 4 | 292 | 2 | 22 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
54%
ML model output
Context Prob
54%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.344
3,466 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.267
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.58 — average athletic ceiling-0.574
231.1 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.335
Composite college score: 7 — average multi-metric profile-0.261