Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tyler Wilson
Tyler Wilson

Player breakdown

Tyler Wilson

Arkansas · 2013 Draft Class

6-2215 lbs4th round, 112th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~37
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

2%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2008ArkansasSEC111226912001
2009ArkansasSEC1223621822002
2010ArkansasSEC1345145343004
2011ArkansasSEC122574073,4222260022
2012ArkansasSEC92494013,38721137021

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

2%

ML model output

Context Prob

2%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.39s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.262
7,549 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.232

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.83 — elite athletic ceiling-0.560
Improvement accelerating (+48.6) — getting better faster each year-0.390
314.5 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.327

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)