Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tyrod Taylor
Tyrod Taylor

Player breakdown

Tyrod Taylor

Virginia Tech · 2011 Draft Class

6-1217 lbs6th round, 180th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~37
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

5%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2011BAL30111800200
2012BAL701729179017311
2013BAL30152016400
2014BAL1000000-300
2015BUF14142423803,035206568424
2016BUF15152694363,023176580623
2017BUF15142634202,799144427418
2018CLE4342854732212513
2019LAC80463310701
2020LAC21163020800700
2021HOU66911509665515138
2022NYG306858117001
2023NYG1151161801,3415319705
2024NYJ201722119301303
2025NYJ64801347795514316
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2007Virginia TechACC87113191652422611
2008Virginia TechACC6861518962669168
2009Virginia TechACC101362432,311135370518
2010Virginia TechACC121722842,521234637528

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

5%

ML model output

Context Prob

5%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.95 — elite athletic ceiling+0.355
4.09s short shuttle — elite lateral quickness+0.269
6,644 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+1.8) — getting better faster each year-0.390
184.6 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.322
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.319

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)