Player breakdown
Vince Young
Texas · 2006 Draft Class
6-5229 lbs1st round, 3rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~43
EliteDavey O'Brien x1Manning x1All-American x1Missed 25+ TD
Major awards: 3Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
78%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | TEN | 15 | 13 | 184 | 357 | 2,199 | 12 | 13 | 552 | 7 | 19 |
| 2007 | TEN | 15 | 15 | 238 | 382 | 2,546 | 9 | 17 | 395 | 3 | 12 |
| 2008 | TEN | 3 | 1 | 22 | 36 | 219 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 1 |
| 2009 | TEN | 12 | 10 | 152 | 259 | 1,879 | 10 | 7 | 281 | 2 | 12 |
| 2010 | TEN | 9 | 8 | 93 | 156 | 1,255 | 10 | 3 | 125 | 0 | 10 |
| 2011 | PHI | 6 | 3 | 66 | 114 | 866 | 4 | 9 | 79 | 0 | 4 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Texas | SEC | 12 | 89 | 140 | 1,125 | 7 | 1 | 1,069 | 11 | 18 |
| 2004 | Texas | SEC | 10 | 132 | 222 | 1,669 | 11 | 10 | 887 | 10 | 21 |
| 2005 | Texas | SEC | 11 | 182 | 285 | 2,769 | 26 | 10 | 850 | 9 | 35 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
28%
ML model output
Context Prob
28%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 1.00 — elite athletic ceiling+0.355
5,563 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
Composite college score: 24 — elite multi-metric profile+0.192
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+1.5) — getting better faster each year-0.397
168.6 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.334
3 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319