Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Will Howard
Will Howard

Player breakdown

Will Howard

Ohio St. · 2025 Draft Class

6-4236 lbs6th round, 185th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~24
MediumMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $3.3M
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

41%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2020Kansas StateBig 127901681,178810364311
2021Kansas StateBig 12330553321118445
2022Kansas StateBig 1201011641,42315245318
2023Kansas StateBig 12122193572,6432410351933
2024Ohio StateBig Ten122273142,860278131734

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

41%

ML model output

Context Prob

41%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.33s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
2,860 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.273
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.270

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.63 — strong athletic ceiling-0.560
Improvement accelerating (+1.4) — getting better faster each year-0.397
238.3 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.341

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)