Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Zac Dysert
Zac Dysert

Player breakdown

Zac Dysert

Miami (OH) · 2013 Draft Class

6-3231 lbs7th round, 234th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~36
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

16%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2009Miami (OH)Mid-American102474012,6141216258517
2010Miami (OH)Mid-American72223432,406131227114
2011Miami (OH)Mid-American102954483,5132311115427
2012Miami (OH)Mid-American113024803,4832512265227

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

16%

ML model output

Context Prob

16%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.91 — elite athletic ceiling+0.365
Improvement accelerating (+0.3) — getting better faster each year+0.344
12,016 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260

Top Negative Factors

316.2 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.346
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.327
4 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)