Player breakdown
Zach Mettenberger
LSU · 2014 Draft Class
6-5224 lbs6th round, 178th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~35
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
30%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | TEN | 7 | 6 | 107 | 179 | 1,412 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 2015 | TEN | 7 | 4 | 101 | 166 | 935 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 5 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | LSU | SEC | 1 | 8 | 11 | 92 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 1 |
| 2012 | LSU | SEC | 9 | 207 | 352 | 2,609 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2013 | LSU | SEC | 10 | 192 | 296 | 3,082 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
30%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+1495 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.343
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.275
5,783 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.62 — strong athletic ceiling-0.554
Improvement accelerating (+32.5) — getting better faster each year-0.390
289.1 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.327