Adrian Peterson

Oklahoma · 2007 Draft Class

6-1217 lbs1st round, 7th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~41

EliteAll-American x1All-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage

Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --

Model confidence

Success Probability

82%

Year	Team	G	Rush Att	Rush Yds	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	Scrim Yds
2002	CHI	9	19	101	1	3	18	0	119
2003	CHI	6	22	70	0	1	5	0	75
2004	CHI	14	6	19	0	2	30	0	49
2005	CHI	16	76	391	2	7	48	0	439
2006	CHI	16	10	41	2	6	88	0	129
2007	CHI	16	151	510	3	19	268	1	778
2008	CHI	15	20	100	0	6	45	0	145
2009	CHI	14	7	51	0	2	11	0	62
2010	MIN	15	283	1,298	12	36	341	1	1,639
2011	MIN	12	208	970	12	18	139	1	1,109
2012	MIN	16	348	2,097	12	40	217	1	2,314
2013	MIN	14	279	1,266	10	29	171	1	1,437
2014	MIN	1	21	75	0	2	18	0	93
2015	MIN	16	327	1,485	11	30	222	0	1,707
2016	MIN	3	37	72	0	3	8	0	80
2017	ARI	6	129	448	2	9	66	0	514
2018	WAS	16	251	1,042	7	20	208	1	1,250
2019	WAS	15	211	898	5	17	142	0	1,040
2020	DET	16	156	604	7	12	101	0	705
2021	SEA	1	11	16	1	0	0	0	16

Season	Team	Conf	G	Rush Att	Rush Yds	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Scrim Yds
2004	Oklahoma	SEC	9	314	1,843	15	3	6	1,849
2005	Oklahoma	SEC	8	197	1,024	14	8	42	1,066
2006	Oklahoma	SEC	0	168	935	10	8	127	1,062

Model readout

XGBoost Prob

79%

ML model output

Context Prob

79%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494

Conference-adjusted speed score: 115.8 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462

4.40s forty — average speed+0.395

4.40s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665

3 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364

8.52 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360