Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ajay Allen
Ajay Allen

Player breakdown

Ajay Allen

Tulsa · 2026 Draft Class

6-1170 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $246K
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

9%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2025TulsaAmerican Athletic119343921098537

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

9%

ML model output

Context Prob

9%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

16.3 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
3.16 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
2 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)