
Player breakdown
Ajay Allen
Tulsa · 2026 Draft Class
6-1170 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $246K
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
9%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 11 | 93 | 439 | 2 | 10 | 98 | 537 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
9%
ML model output
Context Prob
9%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
16.3 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
3.16 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
2 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188
Top Negative Factors
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337