Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Alex Green
Alex Green

Player breakdown

Alex Green

Hawaii · 2011 Draft Class

6-0225 lbs3rd round, 96th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~38
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

76%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2011GNB4311016017
2012GNB121354640181250589
2013NYJ131135028043
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2009Hawai'iMountain West08645321198551
2010Hawai'iMountain West101331,16817263431,511

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

76%

ML model output

Context Prob

76%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.45s forty — average speed+0.395
Physical upside: 0.98 — elite athletic ceiling+0.381
Catch radius: 89.0 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.15s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
37 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
6.91s 3-cone — average change-of-direction-0.161

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)