Player breakdown
Alexander Mattison
Boise St. · 2019 Draft Class
5-11221 lbs3rd round, 102nd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~28
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
28%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | MIN | 13 | 100 | 462 | 1 | 10 | 82 | 0 | 544 |
| 2020 | MIN | 13 | 96 | 434 | 2 | 13 | 125 | 1 | 559 |
| 2021 | MIN | 16 | 134 | 491 | 3 | 32 | 228 | 1 | 719 |
| 2022 | MIN | 17 | 74 | 283 | 5 | 15 | 91 | 1 | 374 |
| 2023 | MIN | 16 | 180 | 700 | 0 | 30 | 192 | 3 | 892 |
| 2024 | LVR | 14 | 132 | 420 | 4 | 36 | 294 | 1 | 714 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Boise State | Mountain West | 4 | 59 | 307 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 356 |
| 2017 | Boise State | Mountain West | 9 | 209 | 1,074 | 12 | 28 | 284 | 1,358 |
| 2018 | Boise State | Mountain West | 0 | 302 | 1,415 | 17 | 27 | 173 | 1,588 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
28%
ML model output
Context Prob
28%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
4.67s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 88.5 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
34 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Top Negative Factors
4.29s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324