Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Alfred Blue
Alfred Blue

Player breakdown

Alfred Blue

LSU · 2014 Draft Class

6-2223 lbs6th round, 181st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~35
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

20%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2014HOU161695282151131641
2015HOU161836982151091807
2016HOU14100420112400460
2017HOU117126217540316
2018HOU161504992201540653
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2010LSUSEC020101111102
2011LSUSEC678539700539
2012LSUSEC2402702745315
2013LSUSEC1643171445362

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

20%

ML model output

Context Prob

20%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.63s forty — slow speed+0.395
2.42 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Catch radius: 90.0 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.50s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
12 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)