Player breakdown
Alvin Kamara
Tennessee · 2017 Draft Class
5-10214 lbs3rd round, 67th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~31
Elite1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
79%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | NOR | 16 | 120 | 728 | 8 | 81 | 826 | 5 | 1,554 |
| 2018 | NOR | 15 | 194 | 883 | 14 | 81 | 709 | 4 | 1,592 |
| 2019 | NOR | 14 | 171 | 797 | 5 | 81 | 533 | 1 | 1,330 |
| 2020 | NOR | 15 | 187 | 932 | 16 | 83 | 756 | 5 | 1,688 |
| 2021 | NOR | 13 | 240 | 898 | 4 | 47 | 439 | 5 | 1,337 |
| 2022 | NOR | 15 | 223 | 897 | 2 | 57 | 490 | 2 | 1,387 |
| 2023 | NOR | 13 | 180 | 694 | 5 | 75 | 466 | 1 | 1,160 |
| 2024 | NOR | 14 | 228 | 950 | 6 | 68 | 543 | 2 | 1,493 |
| 2025 | NOR | 11 | 131 | 471 | 1 | 33 | 186 | 0 | 657 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Tennessee | SEC | 0 | 96 | 645 | 6 | 31 | 272 | 917 |
| 2016 | Tennessee | SEC | 0 | 96 | 565 | 9 | 33 | 346 | 911 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
79%
ML model output
Context Prob
79%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.56s forty — slow speed+0.395
4.29 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Top Negative Factors
64 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.24 — variable output-0.174