Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Alvin Pearman
Alvin Pearman

Player breakdown

Alvin Pearman

Virginia · 2005 Draft Class

5-9208 lbs4th round, 127th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~44
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

23%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2005JAX16391491322400389
2006JAX13198912120101
2007SEA30001101
2008JAX1000123123
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003VirginiaACC131316464614851,131
2004VirginiaACC01869859263811,366

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

23%

ML model output

Context Prob

23%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.63s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 86.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
17 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

4.08s short shuttle — elite lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)