Player breakdown
Anderson Castle
Duke · 2026 Draft Class
6-1190 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
18%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Duke | ACC | 14 | 109 | 479 | 6 | 17 | 119 | 598 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
18%
ML model output
Context Prob
18%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
51.3 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
3.15 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
6 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188
Top Negative Factors
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324