Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Andre Ellington
Andre Ellington

Player breakdown

Andre Ellington

Clemson · 2013 Draft Class

5-9199 lbs6th round, 187th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~37
Elite1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

88%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2013ARI1511865233937111,023
2014ARI1220166034639521,055
2015ARI10452893151480437
2016ARI163496012850181
2017HOU4520672074
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2009ClemsonACC06849141155546
2010ClemsonACC01186861012109795
2011ClemsonACC02131,06210221091,171
2012ClemsonACC02121,0818142321,313

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

88%

ML model output

Context Prob

88%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.61s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 86.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.84 — elite athletic ceiling-0.300
59 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Rb rush yards per game-0.126

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)