Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Anthony McFarland Jr.
Anthony McFarland Jr.

Player breakdown

Anthony McFarland Jr.

Maryland · 2020 Draft Class

5-8208 lbs4th round, 124th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~28
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

77%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2020PIT113311306540167
2021PIT2330111014
2022PIT16300211041
2023PIT3000211011
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2018MarylandBig Ten31311,03447731,107
2019MarylandBig Ten0114614817126740

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

77%

ML model output

Context Prob

77%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Conference-adjusted speed score: 107.0 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.44s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 82.8 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

24 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
820.9 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison-0.264
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)