Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Antonio Gibson
Antonio Gibson

Player breakdown

Antonio Gibson

Memphis · 2020 Draft Class

3rd round, 66th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~28
Low1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

26%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2020WAS14170795113624701,042
2021WAS162581,03774229431,331
2022WAS151495463463532899
2023WAS16652651483892654
2024NWE171205381232060744
2025NWE5251061260112
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2018MemphisAmerican Athletic000069999
2019MemphisAmerican Athletic031363432636999

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

26%

ML model output

Context Prob

26%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.300
BMI 0.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR-0.284

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)