Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ben Tate
Ben Tate

Player breakdown

Ben Tate

Auburn · 2010 Draft Class

5-11220 lbs2nd round, 58th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~38
Medium1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

47%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2011HOU151759424139801,040
2012HOU1165279211490328
2013HOU141817714341400911
2014MIN31338000038
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2006AuburnSEC250369300369
2007AuburnSEC0188856713125981
2008AuburnSEC015966431590754
2009AuburnSEC02631,36210201051,467

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

47%

ML model output

Context Prob

47%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Conference-adjusted speed score: 124.0 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.34s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395
Physical upside: 1.00 — elite athletic ceiling+0.381

Top Negative Factors

4.12s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)