Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Bernard Pierce
Bernard Pierce

Player breakdown

Bernard Pierce

Temple · 2012 Draft Class

6-0218 lbs3rd round, 84th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~35
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

42%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2012BAL1610853217470579
2013BAL161524362201040540
2014BAL139336622130379
2015JAX7611037018
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2009TempleAmerican Athletic02361,361168391,400
2010TempleAmerican Athletic715472810887815
2011TempleAmerican Athletic92481,381253521,433

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

42%

ML model output

Context Prob

42%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.45s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 90.2 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
52 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

4.28s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.305
19 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)