Player breakdown
Bijan Robinson
Texas · 2023 Draft Class
5-11215 lbs1st round, 8th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~24
EliteDoak Walker x1All-American x1All-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 3Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
95%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | ATL | 17 | 214 | 976 | 4 | 58 | 487 | 4 | 1,463 |
| 2024 | ATL | 17 | 304 | 1,456 | 14 | 61 | 431 | 1 | 1,887 |
| 2025 | ATL | 17 | 287 | 1,478 | 7 | 79 | 820 | 4 | 2,298 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Texas | SEC | 0 | 86 | 703 | 4 | 15 | 196 | 899 |
| 2021 | Texas | SEC | 9 | 195 | 1,127 | 11 | 26 | 295 | 1,422 |
| 2022 | Texas | SEC | 0 | 258 | 1,580 | 18 | 19 | 314 | 1,894 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
98%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
Conference-adjusted speed score: 108.7 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.46s forty — average speed+0.395
Top Negative Factors
8.81 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
60 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
624.4 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison-0.264