Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Bilal Powell
Bilal Powell

Player breakdown

Bilal Powell

Louisville · 2011 Draft Class

5-10207 lbs4th round, 126th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~37
High1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

66%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2011NYJ21321017028
2012NYJ141104374171400577
2013NYJ161766971362720969
2014NYJ1533141111920233
2015NYJ11703131473882701
2016NYJ1613172235838821,110
2017NYJ151787725231700942
2018NYJ7803430111101453
2019NYJ135922907330262
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2007LouisvilleACC0241872325212
2008LouisvilleACC07535421258412
2009LouisvilleACC3108392412103495
2010LouisvilleACC72111,33010161481,478

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

66%

ML model output

Context Prob

66%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.51s forty — average speed+0.395
21 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175

Top Negative Factors

3 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
43 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
7.14 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.259

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)