Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Braelon Allen
Braelon Allen

Player breakdown

Braelon Allen

Wisconsin · 2024 Draft Class

6-1235 lbs4th round, 134th overallAge at Draft: 20Age: ~22
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

25%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2024NYJ17923342191481482
2025NYJ418761217093
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2021WisconsinBig Ten71571,109126371,146
2022WisconsinBig Ten02081,12610111041,230
2023WisconsinBig Ten1118198412281311,115

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

25%

ML model output

Context Prob

25%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Catch radius: 89.0 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
34 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Physical upside: 0.62 — strong athletic ceiling-0.300
45 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)