Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Brandon Jacobs
Brandon Jacobs

Player breakdown

Brandon Jacobs

Southern Illinois · 2005 Draft Class

6-4267 lbs4th round, 110th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~44
Elite1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

80%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2005NYG163899700099
2006NYG15964239111490572
2007NYG112021,00942317421,183
2008NYG132191,0891563601,125
2009NYG1522483551818411,019
2010NYG1614782397590882
2011NYG141525717151281699
2012SFO25700007
2013NYG75823842130251
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003Ole MissSEC7351043961165
2004Southern IllinoisMVFC7150992198831,075

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

80%

ML model output

Context Prob

80%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

51.2 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.56s forty — slow speed+0.395
Physical upside: 1.08 — elite athletic ceiling+0.381

Top Negative Factors

4.46s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
8 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)