Player breakdown
Brashard Smith
SMU · 2025 Draft Class
5-10194 lbs7th round, 228th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
90%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | KAN | 17 | 44 | 151 | 0 | 25 | 172 | 1 | 323 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Miami | ACC | 0 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 14 | 199 | 222 |
| 2022 | Miami | ACC | 11 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 33 | 308 | 330 |
| 2023 | Miami | ACC | 12 | 9 | 132 | 1 | 22 | 263 | 395 |
| 2024 | SMU | ACC | 13 | 217 | 1,270 | 14 | 35 | 303 | 1,573 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
90%
ML model output
Context Prob
90%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1,573 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
4.39s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395
Catch radius: 86.2 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
Top Negative Factors
8.11 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.318
35 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Conference-adjusted speed score: 94.0 — speed measured against quality competition-0.173