Player breakdown
Breece Hall
Iowa St. · 2022 Draft Class
5-11217 lbs2nd round, 36th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~25
EliteAll-American x1All-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
95%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | NYJ | 7 | 80 | 463 | 4 | 19 | 218 | 1 | 681 |
| 2023 | NYJ | 17 | 223 | 994 | 5 | 76 | 591 | 4 | 1,585 |
| 2024 | NYJ | 16 | 209 | 876 | 5 | 57 | 483 | 3 | 1,359 |
| 2025 | NYJ | 16 | 243 | 1,065 | 4 | 36 | 350 | 1 | 1,415 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5 | 169 | 842 | 9 | 19 | 207 | 1,049 |
| 2020 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 11 | 279 | 1,572 | 21 | 23 | 180 | 1,752 |
| 2021 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 12 | 253 | 1,472 | 20 | 36 | 302 | 1,774 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
97%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
1,525 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
4.39s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395
Top Negative Factors
8.18 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.318
78 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.125