Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Bucky Irving
Bucky Irving

Player breakdown

Bucky Irving

Oregon · 2024 Draft Class

5-9192 lbs4th round, 125th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~24
High1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

64%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2024TAM172071,12284739201,514
2025TAM101735881302773865
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2021MinnesotaBig Ten01145704873643
2022OregonBig Ten121439063303001,206
2023OregonBig Ten141721,06310533951,458

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

64%

ML model output

Context Prob

64%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.55s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 83.8 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227

Top Negative Factors

Rb rush td rate-0.411
7.59 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.318
Physical upside: 0.84 — elite athletic ceiling-0.300

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)