Player breakdown
Caden Durham
LSU · 2027 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
6%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | LSU | SEC | 12 | 110 | 478 | 2 | 12 | 76 | 554 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
6%
ML model output
Context Prob
6%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
61.6 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.325
2 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188
Top Negative Factors
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337