Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Carlos Hyde
Carlos Hyde

Player breakdown

Carlos Hyde

Ohio St. · 2014 Draft Class

6-0230 lbs2nd round, 57th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~35
Elite1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

88%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2014SFO1483333412680401
2015SFO7115470311530523
2016SFO1321798862716331,151
2017SFO1624093885935001,288
2018JAX8581890440193
2019HOU162451,0706104201,112
2020SEA1081356416930449
2021JAX1272253112650318
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2010Ohio StateBig Ten024141000141
2011Ohio StateBig Ten01015496965614
2012Ohio StateBig Ten7185970168511,021
2013Ohio StateBig Ten71831,40814141081,516

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

88%

ML model output

Context Prob

88%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.62s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 89.2 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227

Top Negative Factors

31 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Rb rush share of scrimmage-0.182
823 avg yards/season — solid output-0.133

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)