Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Cedric Benson
Cedric Benson

Player breakdown

Cedric Benson

Texas · 2005 Draft Class

5-10222 lbs1st round, 4th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~43
EliteDoak Walker x1All-American x1All-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 3Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

91%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2005CHI9672720130275
2006CHI1515764768540701
2007CHI111966744171230797
2008CIN122147472201850932
2009CIN133011,25161711101,362
2010CIN163211,11172817811,289
2011CIN152731,0676158201,149
2012GNB571248114970345
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003TexasSEC122611,4002181181,518
2004TexasSEC103031,76419221791,943

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

88%

ML model output

Context Prob

88%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
1,730 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
4.62s forty — slow speed+0.395

Top Negative Factors

8.75 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
30 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Rb rush share of scrimmage-0.182

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)