Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Cedric Cobbs
Cedric Cobbs

Player breakdown

Cedric Cobbs

Arkansas · 2004 Draft Class

6-0223 lbs4th round, 128th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~45
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

56%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2004NWE32250000050
2006DEN23900009
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003ArkansasSEC111941,17487411,215

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

56%

ML model output

Context Prob

56%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.75s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 92.0 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.210

Top Negative Factors

Rb rush td rate-0.411
7 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)