Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Cedric Houston
Cedric Houston

Player breakdown

Cedric Houston

Tennessee · 2005 Draft Class

5-11225 lbs6th round, 182nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~44
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

42%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2005NYJ128130228660368
2006NYJ811337457430417
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003TennesseeSEC10129646114130776
2004TennesseeSEC61689437151791,122

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

42%

ML model output

Context Prob

42%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.61s forty — slow speed+0.395
4.99 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.206
9 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

Rb rush td rate-0.411
29 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)