Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Cedric Peerman
Cedric Peerman

Player breakdown

Cedric Peerman

Virginia · 2009 Draft Class

5-9216 lbs6th round, 185th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~39
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

30%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2010CIN7210111012
2011CIN15315000015
2012CIN143625819850343
2013CIN16817000017
2014CIN1615430327070
2016CIN6615000015
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2005VirginiaACC0672183314232
2006VirginiaACC0461530738191
2007VirginiaACC011358551299684
2008VirginiaACC0153774744193967

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

30%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Conference-adjusted speed score: 109.6 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.34s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395

Top Negative Factors

4.29s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush td rate-0.411
3 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)