Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Charles Sims
Charles Sims

Player breakdown

Charles Sims

West Virginia · 2014 Draft Class

6-0214 lbs3rd round, 69th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~35
High1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

74%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2014TAM8661851191900375
2015TAM1610752905156141,090
2016TAM7511491241901339
2017TAM1621950352491344
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2009HoustonBig 1261326989707591,457
2011HoustonBig 1281047829465451,327
2012HoustonBig 12514285111373731,224
2013West VirginiaBig 1202081,09511454011,496

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

74%

ML model output

Context Prob

74%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
1,496 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
4.48s forty — average speed+0.395

Top Negative Factors

4.30s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
45 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
6.99 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.259

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)