Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Chauncey Washington
Chauncey Washington

Player breakdown

Chauncey Washington

USC · 2008 Draft Class

5-11211 lbs7th round, 213th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

36%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2008JAX649019018
2011DAL21-10213012
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003USCBig Ten5186101667
2006USCBig Ten71557369993829
2007USCBig Ten81838949447941

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

36%

ML model output

Context Prob

36%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Conference-adjusted speed score: 107.6 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.45s forty — average speed+0.395
4.46 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360

Top Negative Factors

1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)