Player breakdown
Chris Carson
Oklahoma St. · 2017 Draft Class
6-0218 lbs7th round, 249th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~31
High1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
69%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | SEA | 4 | 49 | 208 | 0 | 7 | 59 | 1 | 267 |
| 2018 | SEA | 14 | 247 | 1,151 | 9 | 20 | 163 | 0 | 1,314 |
| 2019 | SEA | 15 | 278 | 1,230 | 7 | 37 | 266 | 2 | 1,496 |
| 2020 | SEA | 12 | 141 | 681 | 5 | 37 | 287 | 4 | 968 |
| 2021 | SEA | 4 | 54 | 232 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 261 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 0 | 121 | 504 | 4 | 13 | 111 | 615 |
| 2016 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6 | 71 | 498 | 8 | 13 | 128 | 626 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
69%
ML model output
Context Prob
69%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
4.58s forty — slow speed+0.395
2.87 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Catch radius: 90.5 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
Top Negative Factors
26 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.13 — variable output-0.174