Player breakdown
Chris Evans
Michigan · 2021 Draft Class
5-11211 lbs6th round, 202nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~28
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
35%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | CIN | 14 | 17 | 77 | 0 | 15 | 151 | 2 | 228 |
| 2022 | CIN | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
| 2023 | CIN | 8 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 11 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Michigan | Big Ten | 0 | 80 | 565 | 3 | 6 | 87 | 652 |
| 2017 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4 | 126 | 661 | 6 | 14 | 146 | 807 |
| 2018 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4 | 74 | 403 | 4 | 17 | 142 | 545 |
| 2020 | Michigan | Big Ten | 1 | 16 | 73 | 1 | 9 | 87 | 160 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
35%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
4.50s forty — average speed+0.395
3.82 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Catch radius: 91.2 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
Top Negative Factors
4.12s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
46 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229