Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Chris Henry
Chris Henry

Player breakdown

Chris Henry

Arizona · 2007 Draft Class

5-11230 lbs2nd round, 50th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~41
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

27%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2007TEN73111926530172
2008TEN11300003
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003Middle TennesseeConference USA10121034919940
2004ArizonaBig 12056159200159
2005ArizonaBig 12034119000119
2006ArizonaBig 124165581721197778

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

27%

ML model output

Context Prob

27%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Conference-adjusted speed score: 110.5 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.40s forty — average speed+0.395
Physical upside: 1.01 — elite athletic ceiling+0.381

Top Negative Factors

4.14s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)