Player breakdown
Chris Johnson
East Carolina · 2008 Draft Class
5-11197 lbs1st round, 24th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
EliteAll-Conference x1Missed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
91%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | TEN | 15 | 251 | 1,228 | 9 | 43 | 260 | 1 | 1,488 |
| 2009 | TEN | 16 | 358 | 2,006 | 14 | 50 | 503 | 2 | 2,509 |
| 2010 | TEN | 16 | 316 | 1,364 | 11 | 44 | 245 | 1 | 1,609 |
| 2011 | TEN | 16 | 262 | 1,047 | 4 | 57 | 418 | 0 | 1,465 |
| 2012 | TEN | 16 | 276 | 1,243 | 6 | 36 | 232 | 0 | 1,475 |
| 2013 | TEN | 16 | 279 | 1,077 | 6 | 42 | 345 | 4 | 1,422 |
| 2014 | NYJ | 16 | 155 | 663 | 1 | 24 | 151 | 1 | 814 |
| 2015 | ARI | 11 | 196 | 814 | 3 | 6 | 58 | 0 | 872 |
| 2016 | ARI | 4 | 25 | 95 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95 |
| 2017 | ARI | 4 | 45 | 114 | 0 | 5 | 43 | 0 | 157 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 0 | 134 | 561 | 5 | 32 | 236 | 797 |
| 2005 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 0 | 176 | 684 | 6 | 35 | 356 | 1,040 |
| 2006 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 0 | 78 | 314 | 4 | 20 | 168 | 482 |
| 2007 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 0 | 208 | 1,200 | 16 | 34 | 496 | 1,696 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
88%
ML model output
Context Prob
88%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.24s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395
Top Negative Factors
8.61 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
121 career receptions — limited volume-0.278