Player breakdown
Chris Johnson Jr.
SMU · 2026 Draft Class
5-11197 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
EliteAll-Conference x1
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
95%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | SMU | ACC | 11 | 67 | 434 | 3 | 17 | 188 | 622 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
96%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
Conference-adjusted speed score: 109.7 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.24s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395
Top Negative Factors
17 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229
0.18 TDs/catch — primary red-zone usage pattern-0.196