Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Chris Ogbonnaya
Chris Ogbonnaya

Player breakdown

Chris Ogbonnaya

Texas · 2009 Draft Class

6-0220 lbs7th round, 211th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~40
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

18%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2009STL211500119069
2011CLE11733341231650499
2012CLE158300241870217
2013CLE16492400483432583
2014CAR51450100050
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2005TexasSEC1227611379
2006TexasSEC118821745127
2007TexasSEC02666219204270
2008TexasSEC563331442484815

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

18%

ML model output

Context Prob

18%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.57s forty — slow speed+0.395
3.70 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Catch radius: 89.5 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.29s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)