Player breakdown
Chris Perry
Michigan · 2004 Draft Class
6-0224 lbs1st round, 26th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~44
EliteDoak Walker x1All-American x1All-Conference x1Missed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 3Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
83%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | CIN | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 34 |
| 2005 | CIN | 14 | 61 | 279 | 0 | 51 | 328 | 2 | 607 |
| 2006 | CIN | 6 | 10 | 57 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 0 | 99 |
| 2008 | CIN | 13 | 104 | 269 | 2 | 20 | 71 | 0 | 340 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Michigan | Big Ten | 13 | 336 | 1,692 | 18 | 44 | 374 | 2,066 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
77%
ML model output
Context Prob
77%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
2,066 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
4.56s forty — slow speed+0.395
Top Negative Factors
9.22 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324