Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Chris Rodriguez
Chris Rodriguez

Player breakdown

Chris Rodriguez

Kentucky · 2023 Draft Class

6-0217 lbs6th round, 193rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~25
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

22%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2023WAS135124722120259
2024WAS93517321120185
2025WAS1311250063300530
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2018KentuckySEC024300043
2019KentuckySEC065515512517
2020KentuckySEC511978511112797
2021KentuckySEC72051,272812561,328
2022KentuckySEC01759046541945

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

22%

ML model output

Context Prob

22%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227
32 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Physical upside: 0.59 — average athletic ceiling-0.300

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)